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SPY Option 10/22/15

热度 1已有 541 次阅读2015-10-23 08:29 |系统分类:炒股计划

Recently SPY has been really strong. 
 On 10/5/15 SPY up 1.79% to 198.48 from 194.99 previous day  Vol.122 Million, I thought it was very much overbought so opened a PUT 200  121915 Exp. @7.55 total $1510 
(10/2/15  SPY up 1.49% to 194.99 from 192.16 previous day Vol. 206 MM) 

Ever since then, SPY all the way to to 203 level.
Last week, 10/14/15  SPY up 1.5% to 202.29  from 199.30, 10/15/15 continue to up to 203.27 then it hover around 203 for three days till yesterday 10/20/15 it drops to 201.87, which is about 0.6%. Vol. 99 MM
And I though it's the sign to retreat so add another PUT 204 011616 Exp. @7.6 total $760

Know what happen today? SPY up almost 2% and I lost 61% in the first put and 31% on the newly added one.

What's wrong with my judgement?
 

路过

鸡蛋

鲜花

握手

雷人

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发表评论 评论 (1 个评论)

回复 mmusician@sina. 2015-11-8 16:18
SPY的上升趋势还没走完,有可能创新高。回到13-14年的上升Pattern。新高后再考虑阶段PUT。至于日内,Put/Call都有机会。
SPY的效率很高,必须能预见头部,如果等看见趋势,它就结束了!

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